At least 12 percent of Kenyans who voted for President William Ruto in the August 2022 General Elections believe he lost to his rival Raila Odinga, a new study by TIFA has shown.
According to the study, 75 percent of Ruto supporters believe he won while the rest are not sure.
On the other hand, 14 percent of declared Raila Odinga voters believe that Ruto won the election while 71 percent believe he did not win. The remaining Raila supporters are not sure.
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On average, 48 percent of all Kenyans believe that Ruto won the election while 37 percent believe that the sitting President did not with the August 2022 polls.
The remaining 15 percent of Kenyan voters are not sure who won the election.
"Among those who claim to have voted for either of the two main 2022 presidential contenders, only a modest plurality believe that the officially declared winner – William Ruto – did, in fact, receive the most votes (48% vs. 37%). However, the split on this issue between Ruto and Odinga voters is stark, with nearly equal numbers expressing the view that he did/did not achieve this (75% vs. 71%)," TIFA said.
"At the same time, the fact that one-quarter of declared Ruto voters are not convinced that he was actually victorious adds weight to doubts expressed about the integrity of the declared official results. Similarly, the fact that about the same proportion of those who say they voted for Odinga are not convinced that he won indicates that the Azimio claims that his election was ‘stolen’ have not (yet?) been entirely convincing even among his supporters."
TIFA Polls on MPs
According to the research, a slight majority of Kenyans (52 percent) opined that opposition MPs should work with the government for development. 41 percent want the opposition MPs to remain "stong" in opposition, while the remaining seven percent did not favour any side.
32 percent of Kenya Kwanza supporters want opposition MPs to remain loyal to their parties while 62 percent want the MPs to join government side.
On the other side, 54 percent of Azimio supporters want their MPs to remain in opposition while 40 percent want them to join the government.
However, while larger majorities of Kenya Kwanza supporters and Azimio supporters take these opposing positions, neither of these reach the two-thirds mark, suggesting how divided supporters of these coalitions are even among themselves on this issue. For their part, the views of those ‘non-aligned’ in terms of coalition support more closely match those of the former with somewhat more of them in favour of such MPs working “closely” with the government of the day," added TIFA.
48 percent of Kenyans not affiliated to any political party want opposition MPs to work with government while 35 percent in this category want the MPs to remain in opposition. 17 percent were either not sure or had no opinion.
